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Trump tariffs: Gold hits record high as new steel and aluminium tariff announcement rattles markets – live updates | Donald Trump

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Opening summary

Hello and welcome to our live coverage of the world’s response to Donald Trump’s announcement that he will soon impose new 25% tariffs on all steel and aluminium imports into the US.

Trump, speaking to reporters on Air Force One on his way to the NFL Super Bowl in New Orleans on Sunday, said he would announce the new metals tariffs on Monday.

He also said he would announce reciprocal tariffs on Tuesday or Wednesday, to take effect almost immediately, applying them to all countries and matching the tariff rates levied by each country.

“And very simply, it’s, if they charge us, we charge them,” Trump said of the reciprocal tariff plan.

The largest sources of US steel imports are Canada, Brazil and Mexico, followed by South Korea and Vietnam, according to government and American Iron and Steel Institute data.

Vasu Menon, managing director of investment strategy at OCBC in Singapore said it was unclear whether Trump’s latest announcement was a negotiation strategy.

“After all if implemented it will also hurt the U.S. given its dependence on imported steel and aluminum from Canada and Mexico which are major suppliers of these metals to the US,” Menon said.

“Markets will be on edge and volatile with the escalating trade war and investors need to tread with caution for now and brace for possibly more market turbulence.”

Trump’s comments came as China’s retaliatory tariffs, announced last week, came into effect. The measures target $14bn worth of products with a 15% tariff on coal and LNG, and 10% on crude oil, farm equipment and some vehicles.

The agenda

  • All day: France will host the Artificial Intelligence (AI) Action Summit, gathering at the Grand Palais

  • 9.30am ONS stats on UK public service productivity

  • 2pm: Christine Lagarde speaking in European Parliament plenary debate on ECB Annual Report 2023

Key events

American economist Brad Setser, Senior Fellow on the Council on Foreign Relations, has written an informative thread on X about Donald Trump’s latest tariffs.

He predicts that new tariffs on aluminium will lead to short-term pain for no short-term gain….

A bit of background on steel and aluminum imports ahead of the expected announcement of 25% tariffs (and the cancellation of existing exemptions/ exclusions?) tomorrow —

US steel imports are ~ 25m tons, and stable

1/ pic.twitter.com/4lcSco7uN8

— Brad Setser (@Brad_Setser) February 10, 2025

Domestic production is ~ 85m tons, so the US is a net importer — and while there is a 25% tariff now in place, most imports now come in under various exemptions/ exclusions and deals (tariff rate quotas that allow some steel in tariff free)

2/

— Brad Setser (@Brad_Setser) February 10, 2025

Mexico and Canada are just 10 mts of imports, and those imports come in under a deal negotiated during the first Trump Administration (as do the 4 m tons from Brazil). Biden era deals cover the EU, UK and Japan …

3/ pic.twitter.com/PUZFSWnLtO

— Brad Setser (@Brad_Setser) February 10, 2025

US steel prices are higher than global steel prices (the tariffs still have an impact, despite the exemptions/ tariff rate quotas), and US production hasn’t responded to the price differential

4/https://t.co/5WYhiOa5Xl

— Brad Setser (@Brad_Setser) February 10, 2025

As the first chart makes clear, imports have been flat recently so Trump isn’t responding to any surge in imports or crisis in the industry (personally am disappointed that the steel industry didn’t deliver on a production increase after it became clear that Biden wasn’t going to…

— Brad Setser (@Brad_Setser) February 10, 2025

The original 232 tariffs on aluminum were 10% — so going up to 25% is significant, all the more so because imports from Canada in particular are essential for the primary aluminum market in the US to clear (chart in USD billion)

6/ pic.twitter.com/MGE9lUdv3M

— Brad Setser (@Brad_Setser) February 10, 2025

So expect some push back from downstream users of aluminum, as this move increases their short-term costs and any increase in US primary production requires restarting smelters which takes time and may take more than a 25% tariff —

7/

— Brad Setser (@Brad_Setser) February 10, 2025

So in aluminum this is short-term pain for no short-term gain — which is why the original 232 tariffs were set at 10% … and this is also a measure that very directly impacts Canada (a big supplier of green aluminum by the way, but Trump doesn’t care about that … )

8/8

— Brad Setser (@Brad_Setser) February 10, 2025

News about tariffs will clearly continue to dominate the agenda all week, predicts Deutsche Bank strategist Jim Reid.

He told clients:

Mr Trump announced on Friday that he’d be holding a press conference early this week on the US plans for equalising tariffs on “reciprocal trade” with an added mention for autos.

Then on Air Force One last night Mr Trump said he would put 25% tariffs on steel and aluminium imports later today. Canada, Mexico and Latin America would be the most impacted given that’s where the US imports most of these goods from.

Gold hits record high after latest Trump tariff move

The gold price has hit a record high, as investors scramble for a safe haven for their money.

The spot price of gold has risen by 1% in early trading to $2,892 per ounce, above the previous record high set last Friday.

Gold has been rising in recent weeks, amid concerns over the impact of Donald Trump’s policies. It has gained 10% since the start of the year, having ended 2024 at $2,623 per ounce.

This move comes as tariff threats dominate the markets again, says Kathleen Brooks, research director at XTB,

Brooks believes Trump’s plan for new levies on steel and aluminium could push gold higher:

Interestingly, Trump announced his latest tariffs late on Sunday, which suggests that he is not too worried about the market reaction. Typically, Trump has announced tariffs earlier in the weekend, as if he was watching the reaction and to give himself time to back track before stocks or risk assets sold off too sharply. This may suggest that Trump is determined to impose tariffs on these industrial metals.

These tariffs are targeting specific products, rather than individual countries, which makes it hard for any negotiations to take place. We think that this move could boost the gold price, as it may lead to a further flurry of demand to bring gold on shore to the US, in case Trump imposes tariffs on precious metals.

The question for investors is whether gold will reach the psychologically significant $3,000 level on the back of ever-growing tariff levies. So far, the gold price is higher by $25 early on Monday.

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Aluminium prices are rising, as traders worry about the imposition of new 25% tariffs on imports into the US.

The three-month aluminium contract on the London Metal Exchange (LME) has risen 0.3% to $2,635 (£2,122) a metric ton.

The aluminium contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange was 0.2% higher at 20,530 yuan (£2,264) a ton.

The market may worry that new trade barriers leads to supply problems, or hits economic growth – meaning less demand for metal.

Kyle Rodda, senior financial markets analyst at Capital.com, explains:

“At the moment we are seeing signs that maybe this could put some upward pressure in the short term on prices just because of the supply element.

“One of the impacts of these tariffs is depressed global economic activity.”

Australia working on exemption from US steel and aluminum tariffs

The Australian government is hoping to make the case for an exemption from U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum imports.

Anthony Albanese has said he will make the case for “free and fair trade” with America in an upcoming call with the US president, after Donald Trump announced. he would impose tariffs on all steel and aluminium imports into the US.

The Albanese government has been bracing for Trump for announce new tariffs, with senior ministers and officials working behind the scenes for some time to secure tariff exemptions on Australian exports as were achieved during Trump’s first term in office.

The trade minister, Don Farrell, and his colleagues had been seeking to make Australia’s case to avoid such tariffs, with representations made at high levels for exemptions. The defence minister, Richard Marles, was in the US over the weekend meeting with senior Trump officials.

French foreign minister Barrot: We will respond….

France’s foreign minister has pledged to react to Donald Trump’s latest tariff announcements, saying Paris will call on the European Union to respond.

Jean-Noel Barrot told TF1 television that France and its European partners should not hesitate to defend their interests in the face of the US tariff threats.

South Korea holds emergency meeting on steel tariffs

South Korea’s industry ministry says it has held an emergency meeting with steelmakers in Seoul to discuss measures to minimise the impact of potential US tariffs, Reuters reports.

The ministry said it was trying to learn the details of the potential tariffs, after Donald Trump said he would announce new 25% tariffs on all steel and aluminum imports into the U.S.

The ministry also said it would work closely with steelmakers to actively respond to the potential tariffs.

Korean steelmakers supply steel to the factories of car makers Hyundai Motor, Kia Motors as well as television and home appliance companies like Samsung Electronics and LG Electronics in Mexico and the United States, industry officials said.

Opening summary

Hello and welcome to our live coverage of the world’s response to Donald Trump’s announcement that he will soon impose new 25% tariffs on all steel and aluminium imports into the US.

Trump, speaking to reporters on Air Force One on his way to the NFL Super Bowl in New Orleans on Sunday, said he would announce the new metals tariffs on Monday.

He also said he would announce reciprocal tariffs on Tuesday or Wednesday, to take effect almost immediately, applying them to all countries and matching the tariff rates levied by each country.

“And very simply, it’s, if they charge us, we charge them,” Trump said of the reciprocal tariff plan.

The largest sources of US steel imports are Canada, Brazil and Mexico, followed by South Korea and Vietnam, according to government and American Iron and Steel Institute data.

Vasu Menon, managing director of investment strategy at OCBC in Singapore said it was unclear whether Trump’s latest announcement was a negotiation strategy.

“After all if implemented it will also hurt the U.S. given its dependence on imported steel and aluminum from Canada and Mexico which are major suppliers of these metals to the US,” Menon said.

“Markets will be on edge and volatile with the escalating trade war and investors need to tread with caution for now and brace for possibly more market turbulence.”

Trump’s comments came as China’s retaliatory tariffs, announced last week, came into effect. The measures target $14bn worth of products with a 15% tariff on coal and LNG, and 10% on crude oil, farm equipment and some vehicles.

The agenda

  • All day: France will host the Artificial Intelligence (AI) Action Summit, gathering at the Grand Palais

  • 9.30am ONS stats on UK public service productivity

  • 2pm: Christine Lagarde speaking in European Parliament plenary debate on ECB Annual Report 2023



Article by:Source: Helen Livingstone and Graeme Wearden (now)

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