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Trump’s uphill battle to make NATO allies hit his mega defense spending target – POLITICO

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NATO split

Trump’s demand is splitting the alliance’s European nations into three groupings, said Camille Grand, a former NATO assistant secretary-general who’s now a distinguished policy fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations.

A “relatively small group” that includes the Baltic nations and Poland is already spending nearly 5 percent of GDP on defense to deter Russian leader Vladimir Putin and is ready to “pay the price” to keep Trump onside, Grand said.

“I don’t think many nations will commit up-front to 5 percent because so much of the pace at which you can go depends so much on how your economies do,” said Karen Pierce, the U.K.’s outgoing ambassador to the U.S. | Win McNamee/Getty Images

According to Giedrimas Jeglinskas, another former NATO assistant secretary-general who now heads the Lithuanian parliament’s Committee on National Security and Defense, the 5 percent figure is not “that wild.”

“In the eastern frontier of NATO, I think that makes sense,” he said.

A second group encompasses countries such as the Nordic nations and the U.K.

Their defense budgets are already above 2 percent of GDP and they are “willing to look at targets of 2.5, 3 or even 3.5 percent, because it’s consistent with their analysis of the geopolitical situation,” said Grand. However, he added, “they are not going to blindly say yes to 5 percent.”



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